Total P&L
$151.59
since inception
Polymarket
Polymarket portfolio
Our own prediction-market positions, published in full on this page — every position, recent trades and the performance figures for the account. No managed money, no cherry-picking.
Volume traded
$1,386.42
across all markets
Markets traded
47
prediction markets
Portfolio value
$404.18
2 open · 1 settled
Figures are a snapshot taken on 19 October 2026 — a static page cannot show live prices. Total P&L, volume and markets traded are Polymarket’s own published figures for the account. Portfolio value is the current mark-to-market of the positions below.
Book
Positions
Everything held on the account, with the average entry price, the current price and the resulting profit or loss. Markets that have already resolved are marked as settled.
| Market | Position | Status | Entry | Now | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L | Since |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | Open | 45¢ | 66¢ | 595.68 | $268.24 | $390.47 | +$122.23+45.6% | 23 Jul 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | Open | 48¢ | 73¢ | 18.67 | $9.00 | $13.71 | +$4.71+52.4% | 1 Oct 2026 |
| Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 | Under | Settled | 48¢ | 0¢ | 6.25 | $3.00 | $0.00 | −$3.00−100.0% | 13 Jun 2026 |
On settled markets: the API still reports a position whose market has resolved, so it is shown here and marked settled. It does not expose a full history of older resolved markets, and a P&L reconstruction from the public trade feed does not reconcile with the reported figures — so the older closed book is left out rather than misstated.
Activity
Recent trades
The last dozen trades on the account.
| Date | Market | Outcome | Side | Price | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | BUY | 44¢ | 220.99 | $99.76 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | BUY | 32¢ | 154.32 | $49.92 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | BUY | 48¢ | 18.67 | $9.14 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | BUY | 74¢ | 2.69 | $2.00 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | SELL | 75¢ | 2.69 | $2.00 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | Yes | BUY | 65¢ | 3.08 | $2.03 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | Yes | SELL | 71¢ | 3.07 | $2.15 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) — BLAST Slam Group B | Natus Vincere | BUY | 14¢ | 77.06 | $11.15 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) — BLAST Slam Group B | Natus Vincere | SELL | 12¢ | 77.05 | $9.01 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ENJOY (BO3) — CCT Europe Series #10 | MASONIC | BUY | 56¢ | 10.77 | $6.13 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ENJOY (BO3) — CCT Europe Series #10 | MASONIC | SELL | 100¢ | 10.77 | $10.76 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) — VCT Champions Group D | Karmine Corp | SELL | 48¢ | 13.64 | $6.38 |
Approach
How the book is run
The rules we hold ourselves to, whether a position is winning or losing.
Research first
We read the primary source before we price anything — schedules, results, filings, polling, on-chain data. If we cannot explain the market in one sentence, we do not trade it.
Price, not opinion
A market only interests us when its implied probability looks wrong by a margin we can defend with evidence. Being contrarian is not the point; being right is.
Sizing discipline
Every position is sized so that being wrong is survivable. No single market, however confident we are, can define the book.
Exit rules
We take profit into strength and cut when the thesis breaks. We do not hold to resolution out of hope, and we do not average into a losing idea.
Disclosure
Risk and important information
Not financial advice. Nothing on this page is advice, a recommendation, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any contract, on Polymarket or anywhere else. Do not rely on it to make a decision.
Prediction markets are risky. You can lose the entire amount you stake. Prices move, and a position that looks certain can still resolve against you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. A historical record tells you nothing about the next trade.
These are our own positions. We trade our own capital on our own account. We do not manage money for others, and this is not a fund, a pool, or a managed account. All figures are in USD.
Not affiliated with Polymarket. Polymarket is a third-party platform and this page is an independent record of positions held there. Figures are a snapshot taken on 19 October 2026 and may be out of date.
FAQ
Questions about the portfolio
What is Polymarket?
Polymarket is a prediction market: people trade contracts on the outcome of real-world events, and the price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability. A contract trading at 62¢ implies roughly a 62% chance.
Are these figures live?
No. This is a static site, so the numbers shown are a snapshot taken on 19 October 2026. Prices move constantly, and the record here may already be out of date.
Is this financial advice?
No. Nothing on this page is advice, a recommendation, or an offer to trade. It is a record of our own positions, published for transparency. Prediction markets carry real risk, including losing the entire amount staked.
Do you trade other people’s money?
No. These are Geornix’s own positions on our own account. We do not manage money for others, and this is not a fund, a pool or a managed account.
Why publish the portfolio?
Because a record you can inspect is worth more than a claim you cannot. Publishing it also keeps us honest — the losing positions sit alongside the winners.
Want to talk markets, or work with us?
We are happy to talk through the approach — and we build the same tools we trade with.